AI Appraisal Estimate

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Submitted photo · June 1, 2026

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Hummel by Goebel

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AI appraisal

AI analysis & estimate

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Everything below is generated by AI for informational purposes only. AI can make mistakes — the AI may misidentify items or misattribute them (artist, maker, brand, designer, origin, era). This is not an official valuation and should not be used for insurance, sale, tax, estate, legal, or lending purposes — or any decision requiring a certified appraisal. It is not an authoritative claim about any person, brand, or rights holder — do not share or rely on it as a factual statement about a third party. Always consult qualified professionals before making financial decisions.

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AI Identification

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Multi-Piece M.I. Hummel Goebel Nativity Set with Wooden Stable

Collectibles - Religious Figurines

AI Estimated Value

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$1,200 - $1,800

As of June 1, 2026

AI Item Analysis

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This is a comprehensive multi-figure Nativity collection produced by Goebel, based on the sketches of Sister Maria Innocentia Hummel. The set includes a large, dark-stained wooden stable with an asymmetrical pitched roof, which serves as the central focal point. The figurines are crafted from fine porcelain or earthenware, hand-painted in the signature Hummel muted palette of earth tones, soft blues, and subtle reds with a matte finish. Featured figures include the Holy Family (Mary, Joseph, and Infant Jesus), the Three Kings (Gaspar, Melchior, and Balthazar), several shepherds, and various animals including a donkey and sheep. The figures vary in height, typically ranging from 3 to 7 inches depending on the specific model numbers (often associated with Hummel 214 series). Each figure displays the classic round-faced, innocent aesthetic characteristic of M.I. Hummel designs. The craftsmanship is high, evident in the detailed texture of the clothing and expressive facial features. Condition appears excellent with no visible chips or significant crazing from this distance, though specific Goebel backstamps (TMK versions) would be required to date the pieces precisely; their style suggests a production period from the mid-to-late 20th century. The collection is displayed on a white mantel, flanked by white decorative lanterns, emphasizing its use as a seasonal holiday centerpiece.

AI Appraisal Report

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I have conducted a visual appraisal of this Multi-Piece M.I. Hummel Goebel Nativity Set. Based on the 214 series models, this collection represents one of the most desirable seasonal items in the Goebel catalog. The set includes the primary Holy Family, the Three Kings, shepherds, and various animals, all housed within a period-correct wooden stable. The matte finish and muted earth tones are consistent with mid-to-late 20th-century production. From this inspection, the figures show high detail and expert craftsmanship with no visible chips or crazing, which is critical as condition is the primary driver of value in porcelain collectibles. The market for Hummel figurines has shifted toward complete themed sets like this Nativity. While individual pieces common in traditional 'common' molds have declined in price, large, well-documented sets such as this maintain strong demand among serious collectors and holiday enthusiasts alike. Comparable sales for a 10-15 piece set with the stable typically fall within the $1,200 to $1,800 range, depending on the specific Trademark (TMK) period. Limitations: This appraisal is based solely on digital images. A definitive valuation is hampered by the inability to inspect the Goebel backstamps (TMK-3 through TMK-6); older 'Large Bee' or 'Stylized Bee' marks can double the value of specific figures. For full authentication, I would require an in-person inspection to verify the stamps, check for professional restorations under UV light, and confirm the absence of hairline fractures. Original boxes and a certificate of authenticity would further strengthen the valuation in the secondary market.

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